Let The Love-fest Begin.
Word is that Robert Griffin III will indeed apply for eligibility for this year’s draft. ESPN’s Chris Mortensen tweeted ‘as per family source’ that Griffin would be informing Baylor head coach Art Briles today, that he was going to ‘turn pro.’ And so the mayhem starts.
As a Redskins fan, how much do you want to see RGIII in the B&G? Kind of has a nice ring to it doesn’t it?
What would you give up to get him? The Redskins will choose sixth, but in order to ensure that you could get Griffin in a pre-draft move – Washington would have to move up to at least number two to be guaranteed that they would get the young quarterback; otherwise, somebody else could jump up into that spot.
The Redskins have the sixth overall pick in the draft, so they would be moving up just four spots.
Well you could look at one of those trusty old draft value charts (link at bottom of blog) – they may not be ‘accurate’ but they will certainly give you a starting point – but you can count on the right to move up and grab RGIII being expensive, more expensive than the usual jump might normally be. The draft value chart says that the Rams number two pick is worth 2600 points. The Redskins number six pick is worth 1600 points. So that’s a difference of 1000 points.
Typically 1000 points would net the Rams at least an extra 1st rounder, as you can see on the chart that the 16th overall pick is worth 1000 points. Then there’s the discussion on what next year’s picks are worth as it relates to the chart, and obviously teams don’t have the luxury of knowing exactly where in the round their trade partner will pick. Typically, if a team needed to throw in a third round pick this year, they’d have to make it a second round pick next year. So the Redskins will have to give up at least next year’s first round pick, and they will probably have to sweeten the deal considerably from that – perhaps this year’s first and second, as well as next year’s first, and a mid-to-late round pick on top of that.
The crazy thing is, if the Rams don’t pick RGIII or trade to someone who does, the third pick goes down to 2200 points. That’s only 600 points away from the Redskins 1600 points. The Redskins second round pick would be worth 520 points – so now we’re getting really close in ‘value.’ That would put the Redskins just 80 points away – about the value of a mid-fourth round pick.
So the long and short of all that is that the Redskins have to move up to number two to get RGIII, they’d be giving up two firsts and a second minimum, whereas if they wait just one slot more – they could actually conceivably pick him up for a first, second and fourth this year, and be done. It would likely take a little more, like this year’s first and second, and next year’s third, but you get the idea. The cost to moving up goes down considerably if RGIII is there at number III.
What’s your bottom line? How much would you give up? Do you even like RGIII as the future of the Redskins franchise?
Hit me up on Twitter @TheHogsdotNet and let me know.
Draft Value Chart – http://www.the-hogs.net/blogs/2010/01/29/trade-value-chart/